Category: Trades

Leans hogs are about to complete a rectangle. I would normally be interested in going long with a close above 112.5. However, I will not have computer access from Friday to Wednesday.  It’s possible I go completely flat all markets Friday.

I did not take this trade but was very tempted.

Feeder cattle completed a head and shoulder bottom today. I will be looking to go long at the 180 mark with a stop at 178 and a target of 190. If it continues to pull away tomorrow I will cancel these orders.
Update: It missed my buy limits by 8 ticks. I pulled the orders and no interest in chasing this market.

My stops are already moved to a breakeven price.

The bond market is either making a H&S bottom or a failed H&S pattern. I will take the trade either way.

I am short soybeans (November contract) with a stop at 1410 and a target of 1250.

So far this year I took a total of 80 trades. Of those 80 trades, 53 are losers, 12 are break even trades and 15 are winners. Which means my win rate is 18.75%. Despite my win rate, I am up over 40K on the year. I do this analysis mid-year and at the end of the year. I find the same thing each time: Pareto’s principle rules.
On a side note, I have not been trading any individual stocks lately. I began to hit a losing streak trading US stocks starting in May of 2021. When I go on a losing streak, I bet less per trade and become much more selective. Hence, the small losses in stocks. I call this the Ritchie Rule. You can read about it here.

STOCKS YEAR 2022
Symbol	Position	Price Position Opened	Price Position Closed	Realized Profit or Loss
AFG	Long	146	142	($464)
AFL	Long	58.55	62.72	$2,612
AMAT	Long	161	155	($600)
CINF	Long	130	130.5	$34
CME	Long	232.5	220.34	($486)
DE	Long	413.5	414.25	$30
FCX	Long	47.8	44.8	($600)
HIG	Long	75.3	73.8	($600)
MSFT	Long	298	280	($360)
PFSI	Long	71.2	69	($880)
TRV	Long	165.4	160.4	($600)
TSM	Long	128.84	124.84	($400)
UPS	Long	230	223.83	($616)
WMT	Long	155	152.51	($510)
Total Realized  Profit/Loss Stocks				($3,440)
FUTURES YEAR 2022
Symbol	Position	Price Position Opened	Price Position Closed
6C	Long	0.79395	0.79455	$300
6C	Long	0.7936	0.7891	($1,800)
6C	Short	0.7806	0.78562	($1,004)
6C	Short	0.775	0.78	($2,000)
6C	Short	0.77085	0.77775	($4,200)
6C	Short	0.76935	0.775	($2,280)
6E	Long	1.14225	1.1403	($1,124)
6E	Short	1.0947	1.0947	$25
6J	Short	0.008709	0.0087035	$274
6J	Short	0.0085765	0.0083	$11,024
6L	Long	0.2	0.215	$7,470
6N	Long	0.68725	0.6952	$80
6S	Short	1.0661	1.071	($2,450)
6Z	Long	0.064475	0.06375	($1,450)
CLZ23	Long	84.9	83.2	($3,440)
CLZ22	Long	95.91	95.93	$40
CLQ22	Long	106.5	106.5	($4,000)
CLQ22	Long	106	107	($4,000)
CL	Long	111.59	111.59	($4,000)
ES	Long	4782	4746.5	($600)
ES	Short	4215	4207.75	$145
ES	Short	4175.5	4275.5	($2,000)
ES	Long	4474	4432	($420)
GC	Long	1873.3	1853.3	($804)
GEZ24	Short	98.115	98.115	$1,350
GEU22	Short	97.575	97.42	$1,550
GEZ23	Long	97.06	97.06	($3,525)
GF	Long	172.4	170.5	($2,075)
GF	Long	172.85	172.5	($4,500)
HE	Long	121.7	122.075	$560
HG	Long	4.559	4.5	($2,950)
HG	Long	4.77	4.7	($3,500)
HG	Short	3.95	3.466	$24,174
KE	Short	773.5	788.5	($3,000)
KEZ22	Long	860	935	$13,550
LEQ22	Long	138.8	137.2	($2,560)
LEZ22	Long	151.375	151.075	($2,880)
MBT	Long	47570	45570	($800)
NKD	Short	26600	26650	($4,000)
NKD	Short	27200	27600	($4,000)
NQ	Short	15380	15666	($1,144)
PL	Long	1048	1030	($3,600)
PL	Short	870	878.8	($880)
RB	Long	3.45	3.37	($6,720)
RTY	Long	2125	2075	($500)
RTY	Short	2071	2060	($650)
RTY	Long	2130.5	2090	($1,815)
SI	Long	22.02	22.8	$1,560
SI	Short	20.615	20.615	($2,000)
SI	Long	21.4	21.5	$200
TN	Short	141.59375	142.59375	($4,000)
TN	Short	127.71875	125.5	$4,000
ZCU22	Long	547.5	560	$0
ZF	Short	118.56875	117.88	$1,986
ZL	Long	58.84	57.84	($2,400)
ZLZ22	Long	59.3	67.44	$16,608
ZL	Short	78.4	78.4	($3,840)
ZLZ22	Long	76.2	76.2	$200
ZL	Short	75	70	$12,000
ZM	Short	440	400	$13,800
ZN	Short	126.5625	120.38	$18,720
ZS	Long	1548	1520	($5,600)
ZSX22	Long	1570	1560	($4,000)
ZS	Short	1520	1550	($6,000)
ZW	Short	1020	1068	($4,800)
ZWZ22	Short	1027.5	859.75	$33,550
Total Realized  Profit/Loss Futures				$45,855

I only have one open position.

STOCKS
Symbol	Position	Date Position Opened	Price Position Opened		Week Closing Price	Percent Change
	Total Open Profit/Loss Stocks
FUTURES
Symbol	Position	Date Position Opened	Price Position Opened		Week Closing Price	Percent Change
6N	Short	7/5/22	0.61475		0.6177	-0.47%
	Total Open Profit/Loss Futures					-0.5%

I will be looking to short Soybeans (November Contract) as it approaches 1400 level. I will need to see some sign that it is going to stall out first.

Soybean Meal is forming a rectangle. I will be looking to go short Soybean Meal with a close below the 385 level.