Category: Trades

For those feeling brave and courageous this looks like the perfect time to short bitcoin. Yes, I dared to say it. Parabolic blow off tops are best shorted right after there holiday pop.

Small Head and Shoulder Continuation Pattern in the USD. One of my favorite trades to make.

1- It is a continuation pattern. I like to go with the trend.
2- This H&S looks very neat. It had a clear break below the trend line. Both shoulders are the same size and height.
3- It has been developing over a nice time frame. I don’t like trades that play out less than 12 weeks.

On the complete opposite spectrum of bitcoin we have natural gas.

This market has been beaten down. Over the years I have been wanting to get into this market on the long side. However the cost of rolling contracts over from month to month was high. Additionally buying a contract into the future was very expensive compared to spot prices. This has changed. Looking out into the future six months the price over spot is not that bad.

For those left with patience, you can buy a contract in the future. Don’t put any stops in place. Just ride it out. As commodities get closer to zero the risk going on the long side also goes to zero. Unless of course you think natural gas is going to zero.

One of my favorite trades is crude oil breaking out of a box formation. Looks like its targeting 68$.