The Federal Reserve is running the series danger of inverting the yield curve and crashing the money supply.
As can be seen from the graph above, as they raise interest rates the yield curve begins to compress more and more.
The money supply has not been robust and is sloped downward.
Comparing with prior years, we can see that this year growth has been below previous years by a large margin.
IF these trends continue, the fed will push the economy into a recession. The good news is there is a lag between these flashing indicators and when the economy finally breaks. There is no way to know if these trends will continue, accelerate or make a turn around. However at current pace, sometime in 2019, all of these indicators will be in the danger zone. Start to build up your cash position.