{"id":220,"date":"2017-12-27T19:50:52","date_gmt":"2017-12-27T19:50:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/?p=220"},"modified":"2017-12-27T19:52:23","modified_gmt":"2017-12-27T19:52:23","slug":"dark-clouds-on-the-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/27\/dark-clouds-on-the-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"Dark Clouds on the Horizon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>First, Money supply growth has been steady, which is unusual for this time of year.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"221\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/27\/dark-clouds-on-the-horizon\/4-week\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?fit=1880%2C1100&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1880,1100\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"4 WEEK\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?fit=300%2C176&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?fit=660%2C386&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-221\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?resize=660%2C386\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"386\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?w=1880&amp;ssl=1 1880w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?resize=300%2C176&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?resize=768%2C449&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?resize=1024%2C599&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/4-WEEK.png?w=1320&amp;ssl=1 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"222\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/27\/dark-clouds-on-the-horizon\/13-week\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?fit=1881%2C1120&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1881,1120\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"13 WEEK\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?fit=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?fit=660%2C393&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-222\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?resize=660%2C393\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"393\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?w=1881&amp;ssl=1 1881w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?resize=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?resize=768%2C457&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?resize=1024%2C610&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/13-WEEK.png?w=1320&amp;ssl=1 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"223\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/27\/dark-clouds-on-the-horizon\/26-week\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?fit=1881%2C1135&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1881,1135\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"26 WEEK\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?fit=300%2C181&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?fit=660%2C398&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-223\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?resize=660%2C398\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"398\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?w=1881&amp;ssl=1 1881w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?resize=300%2C181&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?resize=768%2C463&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?resize=1024%2C618&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/26-WEEK.png?w=1320&amp;ssl=1 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><br \/>\nSecond, The yield curve is crashing.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"224\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/27\/dark-clouds-on-the-horizon\/yeild-curve-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?fit=1144%2C540&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1144,540\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"yeild curve\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?fit=300%2C142&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?fit=660%2C311&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-224\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?resize=660%2C312\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"312\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?w=1144&amp;ssl=1 1144w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?resize=300%2C142&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?resize=768%2C363&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/yeild-curve.png?resize=1024%2C483&amp;ssl=1 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><br \/>\nIf this does not change the yield curve will go negative sometime in 2018.<br \/>\nThird, the Federal Reserve has made empty threats (so far) to reduce their balance sheet. They have not started in any major way.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"225\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/27\/dark-clouds-on-the-horizon\/fed-balance-sheet\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?fit=1154%2C540&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1154,540\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"fed balance sheet\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?fit=300%2C140&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?fit=660%2C309&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-225\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?resize=660%2C309\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"309\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?w=1154&amp;ssl=1 1154w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?resize=300%2C140&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?resize=768%2C359&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/stockpicks4you.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/fed-balance-sheet.png?resize=1024%2C479&amp;ssl=1 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><br \/>\nThere is no reason to panic at this point. However, if these trends continue it could spell doom sometime in the next 18 months. When I believe a recession is coming I will sound the alarms. Right now we are holding our positions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First, Money supply growth has been steady, which is unusual for this time of year. Second, The yield curve is crashing. If this does not change the yield curve will go negative sometime in 2018. Third, the Federal Reserve has made empty threats (so far) to reduce their balance sheet. They have not started in &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/27\/dark-clouds-on-the-horizon\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Dark Clouds on the Horizon<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9wXzO-3y","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=220"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":226,"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220\/revisions\/226"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockpicks4you.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}